How Markets Really Work -Quantitative Guide to Stock Market Behavior : [PDF Download]

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“As you can see, the greater opportunity and edge lies in being a buyer as the market makes a new short-term low versus buying when it makes a new high. Why is this so? It’s because a market usually makes a new high after good news has occurred.

This good news could be economic reports, earnings, and more. The buying has already occurred. On the opposite side, new lows are usually accompanied by bad economic news, bad earnings, and so on.

The sellers have taken prices lower, and from there the buyers get to step in, especially those correctly anticipating better news in the near future. In conclusion, the statistics show that it has been better to be a buyer of new short-term lows, rather than a buyer of new short-term highs (breakouts).

Now let’s look at the times when the market has made multiple days of higher highs and multiple days of lower lows.”

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