New Frontiers in Technical Analysis – Effective Tools and Strategies for Trading and Investing : [PDF Download]

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“The complexities of investment and trading decisions can be distilled to a technical process of determining bias, uncovering set up situations, and acting on triggers in the direction of the setup and bias. Setup situations are technical patterns that suggest that a change in price trend is imminent.

Seasonality is a setup indicator. As stated previously, seasonality does not cause price to move a certain way. It simply reflects tendencies based on known or unknown fundamental factors.

There can be times when price action deviates from seasonal cycles, most often because of exogenous factors that are of greater influence than the normal seasonal influences. For these reasons, it is wise to act on shifts in the seasonal patterns only if a price trigger indicates a move in the new direction of seasonality.

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