Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis : [PDF Download]

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“When analysts talk of sentiment, they are usually referring to the comparative bullishness or bearishness of those investing. When they talk about the intensity of public involvement in stocks or the fervor behind it, they usually call these speculation indices. It is important to distinguish these two concepts.

All bull markets always end with the investing participants bullish, but all great bull markets end with broad public interest in stock investing. It is a long-accepted concept that great bull markets end when everyone is playing the stock investing game, talking about it at cocktail parties and over back yard fences.

Since its formative years, the theory of contrary opinion has changed little. What has changed, however, are the methods analyst use to determine what investors are feeling at the moment. Many former indicators that worked very well have been made useless by the new derivative investments. Some still work well.”

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