|PDF Title||:||The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis|
|Author||:||Richards J. Heuer Jr.|
|Total Page||:||214 Pages|
|PDF Size||:||1.54 MB|
|PDF Link||:||Read and Download|
Here on this page, we have provided option to read “The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis PDF” and please feel free to download PDF file for offline reading it from download link Given below to Your Computer/Mobile Storage. For more books from Same Author You can visit Militarybookshop.Co.UK.
The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis- Download PDF Book:
“Understanding of the analytic process has been distorted by the mosaic metaphor commonly used to describe it. According to the mosaic theory of intelligence, small pieces of information are collected that, when put together like a mosaic or jigsaw puzzle, eventually enable analysts to perceive a clear picture of reality.
The analogy suggests that accurate estimates depend primarily upon having all the pieces, that is, upon accurate and relatively complete information. It is important to collect and store the small pieces of information, as these are the raw material from which the picture is made; one never knows when it will be possible for an astute analyst to fit a piece into the puzzle.
Part of the rationale for large technical intelligence collection systems is rooted in this mosaic theory. Insights from cognitive psychology suggest that intelligence analysts do not work this way and that the most difficult analytical tasks cannot be approached in this manner.
Analysts commonly find pieces that appear to fit many different pictures. Instead of a picture emerging from putting all the pieces together, analysts typically form a picture first and then select the pieces to fit. Accurate estimates depend at least as much upon the mental model used in forming the picture as upon the number of pieces of the puzzle that have been collected.
PDF Preview – Read, Think and Grow
Download Link: The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis PDF File
Our intention with this initiative is only to help needy people. If the PDF file download link is not working or this PDF Content is Copyright material and if you want to unpublish it, Please REPORT IT.