The Swing Trader’s Bible – Strategies to Profit from Market Volatility : [PDF Download]

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“The Dow theory believes all trends have three phases: accumulation, public participation, and distribution. Most investment strategies believe in phases of a trend and are typically similar to the three in the Dow theory.

For a swing trader, the long side is normally played during the public participation phase because this is when the stock is moving with momentum and probably breaking out to new highs. Ideally, a swing trader prefers to get long during the accumulation phase before the big rally begins in the public participation phase.

One of the best indicators to identify accumulation is volume. When big volume is coming into a stock on up days, it could be a signal that smart money is accumulating shares of the stock before a breakout. The stock market discounts all news.

This may or may not be true, depending on whom you ask. I personally feel the majority of the time the news is discounted in a stock, and the market is efficient.

However, there are instances when smart money (or illegal money) knows things they should not, and the stock is not acting efficiently. Again, this is where volume can play a key role.”

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