Trading Systems 2nd edition – A new approach to system development and portfolio optimisation : [PDF Download]

PDF Title:Trading Systems 2nd edition
Author:Urban Jaekle and Emilio Tomasini
Language:English
Publisher:Harriman House
Format:PDF
Total Page:424 Pages
PDF Size:30.1 MB
PDF Link:Read and Download

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“MANY TRADERS BELIEVE that the system code is what counts in becoming a successful trader. In fact, the code is the least important thing since there are many other factors around a trading system. These factors are discussed in this chapter.

If you are a systematic trader you have probably already had the following experience. You develop a trading system by accident after some time-consuming research. Its back-test results look promising and its logic seems sound.

You decide to start to trade it but the real performance is not as good as you expected. Your trading system still contains a slight upward bias in real trading but it is far away from the bright results which your tests showed.

Why does this happen? Are there any ways to avoid this and to be sure that the back-test results will hold in real trading? Although we do not want to arrive at a final answer to these questions in this chapter we will try to pinpoint the main traits of this topic.

The argument is complex and unfortunately, there is no room for a short and easy formula that the reader can adhere to without leaving a critical standpoint. We focus therefore on the question of how much predictive power your trading system needs to have for the future and we try to find out which factors the trading system’s predictive power depends on.”

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