PDF Title | : | Trading with Intermarket Analysis |
Author | : | John J. Murphy |
Language | : | English |
Publisher | : | Wiley.com |
Format | : | |
Total Page | : | 250 Pages |
PDF Size | : | 10.1 MB |
PDF Link | : | Read and Download |
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“Certain market sectors do better at different stages of the economic cycle. In the early stages of an economic downturn, one of the best performing sectors is consumer staples. Staples are considered to be defensive in nature and relatively resistant to turns in the business cycle.
That’s because the group contains stocks like beverages, food, tobacco, and household products. The reasoning is that people still have to use those products in good times and bad.
Relative strength in this group often hints at economic slowing. ( Relative strength refers to how a market group is doing compared to a market benchmark like the S&P 500.) A couple of other defensive groups that usually attract money in the early stages of an economic slowdown are health care and utilities.
That’s even truer if the stock market decline is accompanied by falling interest rates, which was the case during 2000. Falling bond yields make dividend‐paying stocks more attractive. Most defensive stocks fall into that category.”
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